A 5.0 Hot Seat Rating Spells Disaster for These Three Power-Conference Coaches

A 5.0 Hot Seat Rating Spells Disaster for These Three Power-Conference Coaches Get this: heading into the 2026 college football season, three power-conference coaches just got slapped with a unanimous 5.0 hot-seat rating from CBS Sports experts. That's not just "on the hot seat," that's the absolute maximum, the hottest possible spot on their 0-to-5 scale. We're talking about Florida State's Mike Norvell, Wisconsin's Luke Fickell, and Baylor's Dave Aranda, and every single expert agreed on their urgent need to turn things around. Talk about pressure!

The Unanimous 5.0 Club and Who's Right Behind Them

A unanimous 5.0 rating is wild, right? It drives home the fact that these guys have zero breathing room. Norvell, Fickell, and Aranda are facing a make-or-break season, and everyone knows it. But they're not the only ones feeling the heat. Maryland coach Mike Locksley isn't far behind with a 4.9, South Carolina's Shane Beamer is at a 4.3, and North Carolina coach Bill Belichick clocks in at 4.1. You can see the temperature rising in those programs too. A high rating doesn't mean it's over, but you just know the conversations around these coaches are gonna be intense from day one.

History's Brutal Verdict

Listen, a high hot-seat rating doesn't *guarantee* doom, but history sure isn't on their side. Last season, five of the eight coaches who got a CBS Sports Hot Seat rating of 4.1 or higher were out the door during or after the season. We saw Hugh Freeze, Sam Pittman, and Mike Gundy all get shown the exit. Sure, Oklahoma coach Brent Venables and Arizona's Brent Brennan managed to flip their narratives with strong seasons, but that's the exception, not the rule. And don't even think a low rating means you're safe! Last season, Brian Kelly had a 3.33 rating before a midseason dismissal, and in perhaps a wild moment of CBS Sports Hot Seat Rating history, Penn State fired James Franklin despite a shockingly low 1.33 preseason rating. It just shows you, sometimes it's less about the number and more about the expectations. But there's a flicker of hope, maybe? Louisiana Tech coach Sonny Cumbie went into last season with a 5.0 rating, then led his Bulldogs to a fourth-place finish in Conference USA and an Independence Bowl win. He's still got some pressure with a 3.2 mark now, but it proves you can climb out of that hole. With kickoff for the 2026 season just under two months away, these coaches better be ready to prove everyone wrong from the jump. Their jobs depend on it.

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.

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