Flyers Already Own This Series and the Penguins Are Running Out of Time
The Philadelphia Flyers are one win away from eliminating Pittsburgh, and they're doing it without even playing at home yet. The Flyers took both Games 1 and 2 on the road, including a shutout victory in Game 2 on Monday that ended 3-0. Now they head to Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia for Game 3 on Wednesday at 7 p.m. ET with a 2-0 series lead in their hands. This is the eighth playoff matchup between these two franchises, and the Flyers hold a 4-3 series edge historically.
Philly's Defense Is Suffocating the Penguins
The numbers don't lie: these games are getting tighter, not wider. Game 1 had five total goals. Game 2 had just three. The Flyers are favored at -117 odds, and SportsLine's projection model, which has been profitable on top-rated NHL picks all season with a plus-550 return on money-line selections, is banking on another low-scoring battle. The model ran 10,000 simulations and is picking the Under on 5.5 goals. Dan Vladar in net is a huge part of this. When Vladar starts, the Under has cashed in 60% of Flyers games this season. The Penguins, meanwhile, have gone Under in three of their last four games after a loss, and Philadelphia's home games hit the Under 61% of the time. No player from either side is projected to score more than 0.43 goals on average. That's playoff hockey at its most suffocating.
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The Under is the model's confident play, hitting in 58% of all simulations. But here's the thing: SportsLine says one side of the money line has all the value, and you need to head to their site to see which way they're leaning. What we know is that Pittsburgh absolutely has to stop the bleeding on Wednesday. They've already dropped both games on the road against a Flyers team that's playing lights-out defense and limiting scoring opportunities. Get behind early in Philly, and it's over. The Penguins' back is against the wall.
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This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.