Aaron Rai is the Newest PGA Champ, But This Model's U.S. Open Prediction Could Shock Golf and Pay $70,000

Alright, listen up, Emerald City! You wanna talk about a wild shot? A massive longshot that could make you absolutely *loaded*? Because a proven computer model, one that's been cooking since way back in June 2020, just dropped a bomb about the 2026 U.S. Open, and it involves a $10 bet turning into a whopping **$70,000 payout!** Seriously, folks, this isn't some back-of-the-napkin prediction. SportsLine's proprietary model, crafted by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated this tournament 10,000 times, and it's got some picks that are going to make waves. This thing has *nailed* 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters in a row, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Talk about a hot streak!

The Boldest Bet: Rai to Miss the Cut? You Gotta Be Kidding!

So what's the big, jaw-dropping prediction that could line your pockets? Get this: one leg of their PGA Tour parlay is banking on Aaron Rai, the *newest PGA champion*, to actually *miss the cut* at Shinnecock Hills! Rai's priced at +120 for this, which, on the surface, feels insane for a guy who just won a major. But the model is looking deep, deeper than a Seahawk's deep ball to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Rai just barely missed the cut at the Canadian Open, which had a weaker field with only eight of the world's top 25 ranked players. The U.S. Open? The *entire* top 25 in World Ranking are expected to be there, slugging it out. That's a whole different beast! Outside of his PGA Championship win, Rai has missed the cut in

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half of his last six individual events. And when it comes to the U.S. Open specifically, he's competed three times, missing the cut once and finishing 19th and 33rd in the others. His major victory last month is his *only* top 15 finish across 13 major championship starts. That's a stat that makes you scratch your head, isn't it?

The Putter Problem and Shinnecock's Sting

What's really selling the model on this wild prediction? It comes down to Rai's putter. This is his absolute biggest weakness, and he ranks a staggering 153rd out of 160 golfers in overall putting average. You know what Shinnecock Hills is famous for? Its insane, sloping, contoured greens with sharp run-offs! That's a recipe for disaster if your putter isn't dialed in. The model isn't messing around either, it gives Rai a **52% chance** of missing the U.S. Open cut. Think about that for a second! And while we're talking about other contenders, let's not forget Xander Schauffele, who's been quietly consistent with nine straight top 15 finishes at this major, including seven top 10s. That’s a real grinder. Scottie Scheffler (+550) and Rory McIlroy (+1200) are still topping the PGA odds board for the outright win, but this parlay is where the real money could be. So, the tournament tees off on Thursday. Do you trust the red-hot model that's been crushing major after major? Or do you play it safe? If you want to see the rest of the six picks, including an outright winner and another prop returning over +500, you gotta hit up SportsLine. A $10 bet for $70,000? I'm already thinking about what Mariners tickets I could buy with that kind of cash!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.