The Model That Nailed 17 Majors Says Jon Rahm Is Headed For Disaster
Alright, golf fans, listen up! The 2026 U.S. Open is kicking off bright and early Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET from Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y., and the word on the digital street is WILD. SportsLine's super-smart computer model, the same one that’s absolutely crushed 17 major predictions, including the 2026 Masters, just dropped its leaderboard projections, and let me tell you, it's got some bombshells. Forget what you thought you knew, because a huge favorite is about to get knocked down a peg!
Jon Rahm's U.S. Open Odds Are NOT What They Seem
Seriously, this is a shocker. Jon Rahm, sitting there as the third favorite with +1500 odds, is apparently going to stumble hard and finish outside the top five. You heard that right, a legitimate contender, toast. The model says to fade him big time for your best bets. Rahm won the U.S. Open back in 2021, which feels like ages ago, but he hasn't cracked better than a T-7 finish in this event since that win. Yeah, he pulled off a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, but that was his first top-five in any major since way back in 2023. The numbers don't lie, and this model, which has been ridiculously profitable, is basically screaming that Rahm just isn't a win contender this week.
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Cameron Young Is The Surprise Top-5 Story No One Saw Coming
But wait, there's always a silver lining, right? While Rahm is getting the cold shoulder, Cameron Young is stepping into the spotlight! This dude, who’s never even won a major and has slightly longer odds at +2200, is projected as a top-five contender. That's a huge move! Young has been quietly crushing it this year, bagging two wins and six top-10 finishes, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. So, while everyone's focused on the usual suspects, the model is telling us to keep a close eye on Young. This could be his breakout moment, and it's always awesome to see someone come out of nowhere to contend.
The Field Is Stacked, But These Predictions Are Boss
Beyond the wild Rahm and Young predictions, the field at Shinnecock Hills is, as expected, stacked! We've got Scottie Scheffler, the favorite at +550, chasing that Career Grand Slam. Rory McIlroy (+1200), fresh off his Masters win, is looking for his first U.S. Open title in 15 years. Aaron Rai, who snagged the PGA Championship earlier this year, is also in the mix. J.J. Spaun is the defending U.S. Open champ, and let's not forget Brooks Koepka (+4500), who won this event at 1 over the last time it was at Shinnecock Hills back in 2018. Jon Rahm is still at +1500, with Xander Schauffele at +1600, Tommy Fleetwood at +1800, and Matt Fitzpatrick at +2000. Spaun at +6000 and Rai at +6500 are definitely longer shots. The stage is set, the course is Shinnecock, and with predictions this bold, you just know this U.S. Open is going to be epic. Thursday can't come fast enough!
This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.