Jon Rahm Is OUT of the Top 5 and the Model That Nailed 17 Majors Is Calling It!
Alright, fam, listen up! The 2026 U.S. Open is about to kick off this Thursday at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y., and the word on the street, or rather, from the most accurate computer model in golf, is absolutely BONKERS. Forget everything you thought you knew about the favorites, because SportsLine's proprietary model just dropped a bomb: Jon Rahm, one of the top contenders at +1300, isn't even projected to land in the top five! Seriously, you gotta hear this.The Unstoppable Model That Just Doesn't Miss
Before you call me crazy, let's talk about this SportsLine model. We're not talking about some random guy with a crystal ball here. This thing was built by DFS pro Mike McClure and has simulated every PGA Tour event a whopping 10,000 times. Why should we care? Because it's been ridiculously profitable for anyone following its picks, and get this: it's nailed an insane 17 majors! That includes the 2026 Masters, which was its fifth straight Masters win, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. So, when this thing makes a prediction, you bet your bottom dollar we're listening. It's simulated the 2026 U.S. Open 10,000 times, and the results are kinda wild.Rahm's Shocking Stumble, Young's Quiet Ascent
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Now, back to the big news: Jon Rahm. The guy is a third favorite at +1300, and this model is straight-up telling us to fade him for a top-five finish. Rahm did win the U.S. Open back in 2021, but since then, his best finish at this event has been T-7. Yeah, he grabbed a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, but that was his first top-five in a major since way back in 2023. The model just doesn't see him as a win contender this week. On the flip side, get ready for a name you might not expect to crack the top five: Cameron Young! He’s got slightly longer odds at +2200 and has never won a major, but the model has him as a top-five contender. This guy has quietly had two wins and six top-10 finishes already this year, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. Talk about a dark horse! So, what does it all mean? The U.S. Open is about to tee off on Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET, and the drama is already cooked before a single shot is hit. Scottie Scheffler is the favorite at +550, trying to complete his Career Grand Slam. Rory McIlroy (+1200) and Aaron Rai (+6500), this year's Masters and PGA Championship winners respectively, are in the field. But honestly, all eyes are gonna be on Shinnecock Hills to see if this model keeps its incredible streak alive with Rahm stumbling and Young making a run. You absolutely do not want to miss this!This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.