Jon Rahm Is Tumbling Out of the U.S. Open Top 5 and This Model Just Nailed 17 Majors

Alright, listen up, Emerald City! You know how we obsess over every play, every pitch, every slapshot, right? Well, get ready to flip your lid because the 2026 U.S. Open is about to tee off, and the predictions coming out of this insane computer model are going to blow your mind. This ain't your grandpa's golf predictions, folks. We're talking about a proprietary model from SportsLine, cooked up by DFS pro Mike McClure, that's already simulated the U.S. Open 10,000 times! And get this, it's already nailed an absolutely mind-boggling 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters, which was its fifth Masters in a row, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. When this thing talks, you listen! And what it's saying about Shinnecock Hills on Thursday, June 18, is gonna have some serious ripples.

Rahm's Shocking Stumble, Young's Unexpected Rise

Let's get straight to the biggest shocker, because this is wild. Jon Rahm, who's sitting there as the third favorite at +1300 odds, is apparently going to have a rough go. The model is calling for him to completely stumble and finish outside the top 5! I know, right? Rahm won this event back in 2021, but since then, his best finish at the U.S. Open has only been T-7. Sure, he grabbed a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, but that's his first top-five finish in a major since 2023. The model just isn't feeling him as a win contender this week. So if you're looking for someone to fade in your bets, it's Rahm. Who saw that coming from one of the favorites?! But wait, there's a flip side to this wild coin, an

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d it's all about Cameron Young. This dude is sitting with slightly longer odds at +2000, and he's never even won a major before, but the model is absolutely calling him a top-5 contender! This is the kind of underdog story you live for. Young has been playing lights out this year, racking up two wins and six top-10 finishes, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. The guy's driving metrics are apparently off the charts, and that bodes super well for success at Shinnecock Hills. If the model says to back him, you gotta back him, especially with its track record.

Who Else Is In The Mix?

So, with all these bombshells, who are the big names the model *isn't* completely tossing aside? Scottie Scheffler is still the favorite at +500, trying to snag that Career Grand Slam. Rory McIlroy, who already won the Masters this year, is at +1200 as he chases his first U.S. Open win in 15 years. Xander Schauffele is at +1800, and guys like Tommy Fleetwood, Matt Fitzpatrick, and our boy Cameron Young are all sitting at +2000. Don't forget defending U.S. Open champ J.J. Spaun (+5500) and this year's PGA Championship winner Aaron Rai (+6500) are also in the field. Brooks Koepka, who won the U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills in 2018 at 1 over, is also a longer shot at +3500. This is going to be a must-watch event, folks. The 2026 U.S. Open kicks off this Thursday, June 18, and you know we'll be glued to every shot from Shinnecock Hills. Will Rahm actually stumble? Will Cameron Young make his big move and shock everyone? These predictions are spicy, and you just know we're all gonna be checking to see if this model keeps its incredible streak alive. Let's get it!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.