Wait Until You See These Numbers: Jon Rahm's +1300 Odds Are a Trap: The Model That Nailed 17 Majors Says He's OUT of the Top 5

Sports sports news

Jon Rahm's +1300 Odds Are a Trap: The Model That Nailed 17 Majors Says He's OUT of the Top 5

Alright, golf fans, get ready! The 2026 U.S. Open is teeing off this Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET from Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y. You know it, you love it, it's one of the biggest events in the game. But hold up, because SportsLine’s model, the one that’s basically a crystal ball for golf, dropped some wild predictions that are going to make your head spin. We’re talking major shockers for some of the biggest names and a huge push for a dark horse. If you’ve got your bets in or you're just ready for some drama, you HAVE to hear this!

The Numbers Don't Lie: A Model With a MONSTER Track Record Delivers Shocks

You know we're all about the stats, right? Well, SportsLine’s proprietary model, crafted by DFS pro Mike McClure, isn't merely throwing darts. This thing has simulated every PGA Tour event a whopping 10,000 times, and its picks have been incredibly profitable. We're talking about a model that has absolutely NAILED 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters, which was its fifth Masters in a row! Plus, it called the PGA Championship and Open Championship last year. So when this model talks, we listen. And what it's saying about Jon Rahm, the third favorite at +1300 to win, is going to sting if you're a Rahm fan. This model is calling for him to completely stumble and finish outside the top 5. Think about that for a second! Rahm did win the U.S. Open in 2021, sure, but he hasn't cracked better than T-7 here since then. And yeah, he had a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, but that was his first top-five in a major since 2023. So, the model isn't feeling him as a win contender this week. Tough, but the numbers don't lie!

Trade on Every Game with Kalshi

Click Here to sign up to Kalshi — Free $10 when you sign up using our link or use code: ONTAPSEA. The only federally regulated prediction market in the US. Trade on real sports outcomes. Available in all 50 states.

Cameron Young: The +2200 Long Shot Nobody Is Ready For

But wait, there's more! While some big names are projected to falter, this super-accurate model has another HUGE surprise up its sleeve, and it’s all about Cameron Young. This dude has longer odds at +2200 and has never actually won a major. But the model is putting him firmly in the mix as a top-5 contender on the projected leaderboard. Why the sudden love? Young's been quietly on fire this year, racking up two wins and six top-10 finishes, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. He's been building something special, and it looks like this model caught it before anyone else. Get ready to watch him make some noise, because if the model is right, he's about to turn some heads and make some serious cash for anyone who believes!

So, as the action gets underway on Thursday at Shinnecock Hills, remember these wild predictions. Will Scottie Scheffler complete the Career Grand Slam as the +550 favorite? Can Rory McIlroy grab his first U.S. Open win in 15 years at +1200? Or will the model's stunning calls on Rahm and Young totally shake up the leaderboard? You know we'll be glued to every shot, seeing if these bold predictions come true. Get ready, this U.S. Open is going to be wild!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.

Back to blog

Leave a comment