Jon Rahm Is Crashing Out of the U.S. Open, and A Predictor That Nailed 17 Majors Says So!

Alright, golf fanatics, buckle up because the 2026 U.S. Open is about to kick off, and a seriously insane prediction just dropped that's gonna make you rethink your entire leaderboard. SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS genius Mike McClure, simulated this whole tournament 10,000 times, and the results are WILD. This isn't some shot in the dark, people, this is the same model that has absolutely crushed it on 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters in a row, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship! So when it says something big is coming, you better believe we're listening.

Rahm's U.S. Open Run Hits a Brick Wall?

The biggest shocker coming out of the simulations? Jon Rahm, who's sitting there as the third favorite at a hefty +1500 to win, is apparently going to stumble and finish outside the top 5. Can you believe that? This guy won the U.S. Open back in 2021, but since then, he hasn't cracked better than a T-7 finish in this event. Yeah, he snagged a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, but that's his first top-five in a major since way back in 2023. The model is straight-up telling everyone to "fade" Rahm this week if you're loo

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king for U.S. Open best bets. That's a bold call on a guy with those odds!

Meet Your Sleeper: Cameron Young Is a Top-5 Threat

But wait, there's more! While one favorite is getting the axe, another player is soaring up the projected leaderboard. Get ready to put some respect on Cameron Young's name. The model is calling him a top-5 contender, even though he's never won a major and his odds are sitting at +2200. This isn't just a fluke, either. Young has been quietly having a killer year, racking up two wins and six top-10 finishes so far, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. The man is clearly hitting his stride, and the supercomputer sees him making a serious run at Shinnecock Hills. The 2026 U.S. Open tees off Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET from Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, N.Y. It's gonna be epic. Scottie Scheffler is the overall favorite at +550, trying to complete the Career Grand Slam, while Rory McIlroy, this year's Masters champ, is at +1200 aiming for his first U.S. Open in 15 years. Defending champ J.J. Spaun (+6000) and Brooks Koepka (+4500), who won here in 2018, are also in the field. With these kinds of predictions, you know we'll be glued to every shot, seeing if the model's wild calls on Rahm and Young play out! This is what it's all about!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.