Jon Rahm Is Stumbling Out of the Top 5 and Golf Fans Have No Answer
Okay, so the U.S. Open is teeing off Thursday at 6:35 a.m. ET at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, right? And listen, the numbers just dropped from this crazy accurate golf model, and one of their predictions is gonna make you spill your coffee. We're talking Jon Rahm, the guy who's the third favorite to win at +1300, is projected to *not even crack the top 5!* Seriously, this model is telling us to fade him hard, and if you know this model, you know it's not messing around. This is already shaping up to be a wild one.The Brainiac Model That's Been Nailing It
This isn't some random guess, fam. We're talking SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS genius Mike McClure. This bad boy has simulated the U.S. Open 10,000 times, grinding all the data. And its track record? LEGIT. This same model has absolutely *nailed* a whopping 17 majors, including the 2026 Masters. Yeah, that's its fifth Masters win prediction in a row! It also called last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who's been following its picks has been raking in serious cash. When it talks, we listen. And it's screaming: *Rahm outside the top 5!* Rahm won the U.S. Open in 2021, sure, but he hasn't even sniffed a top-7 finish in this event since. Even his T-2 at last month's PGA Championship was his first top-five in a major since way back in 2023. The model just ain't buying him as a winner this week.Who Else Is On Fire and Who's a Lo
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ng Shot? So if Rahm is out, who's in? The model is also hyping up Cameron Young for a top-5 finish. This is wild because Young has never even won a major! His odds are a bit longer at +2200, but dude has been tearing it up this year, with two wins and six top-10 finishes, including a T-3 performance at the Masters. The model sees something special there. Of course, the big names are still in the mix. Scottie Scheffler is the overall favorite at +550, trying to complete the Career Grand Slam. Rory McIlroy, who already snagged the Masters this year, is sitting at +1200 as he tries to win his first U.S. Open in 15 years. Xander Schauffele (+1600), Tommy Fleetwood (+1800), and Matt Fitzpatrick (+2000) are all looking to make some noise. And don't forget last year's U.S. Open champ, J.J. Spaun (+6000), or Brooks Koepka (+4500), who won here back in 2018 at 1 over. Aaron Rai, the PGA Championship winner this year, is also in the field at +6500. There are some serious storylines already shaping up! So, Thursday morning, 6:35 a.m. ET, the U.S. Open officially kicks off, and the vibes are already electric. Is Jon Rahm really gonna crash and burn like the model predicts? Can Cameron Young, the never-major-winner, actually pull off a top-5? And will any of our other favorites like Scheffler or McIlroy live up to the hype? This is going to be pure chaos and pure golf theater. Get ready to tune in, Emerald City, because this U.S. Open is already delivering drama, and the first swing hasn't even happened yet!This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.