This MLB Expert Is Up 70 Units and Says Juan Soto and Miguel Vargas Are Going Yard Tonight

Alright, Seattle, buckle up! It's Thursday, June 18, and if you're like me, you've been tracking every swing and every pitch since opening day, looking for that edge. Well, get this: Adam Thompson, the absolute legend from SportsLine, has been crushing it this season! This dude, an analytics wizard who’s been with SportsLine on and off since 2016, is up over 70 units in MLB alone over the last two years. That’s insane! He’s back, he’s got the numbers, and he just dropped his best home run props for tonight. You wanna know who he's got going deep? Juan Soto and Miguel Vargas. Yeah, you heard that right, let's dive into why.

Soto's Bat Is ON FIRE, And Nola's About To Feel It

First up, Juan Soto of the Mets. The guy is absolutely locked in right now. Thompson's intel shows Soto hitting a robust .480 over the last week, smashing two home runs, and striking out only three times. Seriously, that's video game stuff! And just yesterday, Wednesday against the Reds, he went 3-for-5 with a double and four RBI. He's on a roll, plain and simple. Now, tonight he faces Phillies veteran Aaron Nola. Here’s the kicker: Nola got absolutely tagged for two home runs against the Brewers in his last outing, and he's giving up dingers at a career-high pace this season. Plus, the forecast for Citizens Bank Park tonight? Winds blowing out to right field at nearly 20 mph. Talk about a perfect storm for a Soto bomb! While Soto has a modest three home runs in 40 career at-bats against Nola, his .946 OPS in those matchups tells you everything you need to know about how dang

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erous he is against him. All signs point to Soto going yard tonight.

Vargas Loves Lefties and Weathers Can't Keep It In The Park

Next on Thompson's radar is Miguel Vargas from the Chicago White Sox. This one feels like a lock, especially when you look at who he’s facing: Yankees starting pitcher Ryan Weathers. Weathers has been struggling big time to keep the ball in the park. The numbers are grim, folks: seven home runs given up in his last three starts, with at least two in each game. That's a pitcher begging for a power surge! The White Sox, even without emergent slugger Munetaka Murakami in the lineup, are no slouches, ranking No. 3 in MLB with 100 home runs hit this season. Now, Vargas himself has only one home run since June 1 and three extra-base hits in that span, so he hasn't exactly been tearing it up lately. BUT, here’s where it gets interesting: Vargas absolutely feasts on left-handed pitching. Nearly half of his 16 home runs this season, seven to be exact, have come against southpaws despite him having 110 fewer at-bats against them. He’s hitting a stellar .338 against left-handers, compared to just .207 against right-handers. Add in winds blowing out to left field at 15-20 mph, and Weathers is in for a long night against a lefty-masher like Vargas. So, there you have it: two big home run calls from an expert with a ridiculously hot hand. While we're talking dingers, man, our M's... tough one last night, huh? Orioles took it 5-3. A gut punch, for sure, but hey, it's a long season, and we just gotta keep pushing. We need our guys to keep grinding. Cal Raleigh, Julio Rodriguez, we’re counting on you. Let's get 'em next time. Go M's!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.