Jon Rahm Is Stumbling at the U.S. Open and a Model That Nailed 17 Majors Has the Receipts
Alright, Seattle, listen up! You ready for some wild news ahead of the U.S. Open? Because a computer model, the kind that literally sees the future of golf, just dropped some bombshell predictions. This thing has crushed 17 major tournaments, including the 2026 Masters, which was its fifth Masters in a row, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. Seriously, anyone who’s followed its picks has seen massive returns. And now, it just simulated the 2026 U.S. Open 10,000 times, and the results for Shinnecock Hills are gonna make your jaw drop. We're talking about a shocker for one of the game's biggest names, and a huge shout-out for a rising star! The major tees off this Thursday, June 18, in Southampton, N.Y.
Rahm's Rough Ride? You Gotta Be Kidding Me!
First up, and this is the one that'll make you double-take: Jon Rahm, one of the favorites at +1500, is apparently going to stumble. The model says he finishes *outside* the top 5. Can you believe that? This dude won the U.S. Open back in 2021, but since then, he hasn't cracked better than a T-7 finish in this event. Yeah, he just snagged a T-2 at last month's PGA Championship, which was his first top-five in a major since 2023, but the computer is not buying it for a win contender this week. This is a massive "fade" alert on one of the sport's biggest names, according to the ultimate predictor.
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Now, for the flip side, get ready to back this guy! The model is calling for Cameron Young (+2200) to be a top-5 contender on the projected leaderboard. And get this: he's never even won a major before! But the numbers don't lie. Young has already racked up two wins and six top-10 finishes this year, including a T3 performance at the Masters. His driving metrics are off the charts, and that bodes super well for Shinnecock Hills. So, while everyone's eyeing the usual suspects, this proven model is telling us to watch Young make some serious noise.
Scottie Scheffler is still the favorite at +550, trying to complete the Career Grand Slam. Rory McIlroy (+1200), who won the Masters this year, and Aaron Rai (+8000), who took the PGA Championship, are also in the field, along with defending U.S. Open champion J.J. Spaun (+5500) and 2018 Shinnecock Hills winner Brooks Koepka (+3500). But the model sees some real surprises happening out there. When Thursday rolls around, we'll see if the predictions hold true, but you gotta respect a system that's been this spot-on for so long!
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This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.