Ludvig Aberg Is 0 For 10 In Majors And This Computer Model Says He's A Top-3 U.S. Open Contender. What?!

Alright, Seattle, buckle up! The 2026 U.S. Open is about to tee off on Thursday, June 18, over at Shinnecock Hills in New York, and if you thought you knew what was coming, a seriously legit computer model just dropped some predictions that are gonna make your head spin. This isn't just any model, folks. This thing has absolutely *nailed* 17 major golf championships already, including the 2026 Masters, its fifth Masters win in a row, plus last year's PGA Championship and Open Championship. So when it talks, we listen. And what it's saying about the U.S. Open is wild: get ready for a major shake-up, because it sees a massive longshot making a run for the top, and a big name completely missing the mark.

Fade This Major Winner: Xander Schauffele's Shocking Prediction

First up, let's talk about a guy the model says you absolutely gotta fade: Xander Schauffele. He's currently sitting at +2000 odds, which isn't exactly a longshot for a player of his caliber, right? But the SportsLine model, after running 10,000 simulations of this U.S. Open, is calling for him to completely stumble and finish *outside* the top five. Outside the top five! That's a huge call on a guy who snagged two majors just a couple of years back in 2024. Since then, his only win was the 2025 Baycurrent Classic against what everyone agreed was a pretty weak field. Plus, he's finished T12 or worse in three of his last four tournaments. So yeah, the model isn't feeling him in this stacked 2026 U.S. Open field, and honestly, the recent track record backs it up. You gotta respect the numbers.

Ludvig Aberg: From Major Miss to Top-3 Threat?

Now for the real head-scratcher, the one that screams "surprising" from every angle: Ludvig Aberg. This dude, with +2200 odds, is projected as a top-three contender on the leaderboard. Let that sink in for a second. This is the same Ludvig Aberg who is 0 for 10 in his major career. The same guy who missed the cut at last year's U.S. Open! My goodness, if that isn't a bold prediction, I don't know what is. But the model isn't just pulling this out of thin air. Aberg has been red-hot this spring, finishing in the top 10 in six of seven tournaments between the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the PGA Championship. He's second on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained. Think about that! He's also tearing it up off the tee, ranking second in total driving strokes gained and an impressive 12th in average driving distance. The talent is there, the form is undeniable, and this model sees him putting it all together for a shocking run at Shinnecock Hills. This U.S. Open is shaping up to be absolutely unmissable. With Scottie Scheffler as the favorite at +550, and guys like Rory McIlroy (+1200) and defending champ J.J. Spaun (+6500) in the mix, these model predictions could seriously change how the whole thing plays out. Will Schauffele really falter? Can Aberg pull off the comeback story of the year? We're gonna find out starting Thursday, June 18. Get ready to watch, Seattle, this is gonna be a wild one!

This article was created with AI assistance and reviewed by Seattle On Tap editorial staff. Always verify information with official team sources.